Hello All,
In April 2025, Indian equity markets showed signs of stabilizing after a prolonged decline. The Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex managed to recover from first quarters losses, aided by easing global concerns and reduced foreign investor selling.
The Safe haven metals - Gold and Silver have topped the charts till now for the year. Sectorally, Finance has picked up this month while Defence and Consumption are making a comeback , while most other sectors also ended the month on a positive note except Reality.
Now, Lets deep dive ! ☕️
Returns on Indices across time periods
Returns across Sectors in April
2025 YTD trends tell a very different story: Gold (+24%) and Silver (+13%) stole the spotlight, while financials and Bank Nifty crawled into the green. Broader indices like Nifty 50 and CPSE barely stayed positive, while sectors like Infra, Energy, and Auto struggled for momentum.
The real pain showed up in Midcaps, Smallcaps, and Microcaps — all deep in the red, with Media emerging as the biggest laggard. In short, while 2024 was a broad-based party, 2025 (so far) has been a lot more selective — and defensive.
Nifty Smallcap100
NIFTY smallcap100 moved 1200 points since Feb’25. It is now above 100 WEMA and 200 WEMA.
PE has now moved to 29.8 from 26.8 in Feb.
Out of 100, only 39 stocks have gained more than 5% in a month whereas 39 gave negative returns. In an year, 50 stocks gave more than 5% returns
How to read this ?
For 5Y, returns are max for S&P Industrials at 547% (Greenest) and min for Nifty Media at 38% (Red). Similarly, one can check for each time period. The table is sorted by 5Y returns.
The below table includes the 4-week (4W), 20-week (20W), 30-week (30W), 40-week (40W), and 52-week (52W) moving averages. Each cell represents the percentage of total stocks in that sector, which are above the corresponding exponential moving average.
Nifty 50 Returns over last month
Out of 50, 23 stocks gave >5% returns in last 1 year and only 14 gave >5% in last 6 months.
→ In last 1 year, 21 have beaten the Nifty 50 returns (7.2%).
→ None out of 50, gave >50% returns in 1 year. None gave more than 100%, our earlier benchmark :)
→ Highest returns is 40% by MnM
→ While 21 gave negative returns in last 1 year. IndusInd, Tata Motors & Jio Financials were the top 3 losers (all dropped more than -25%).
The Current PE = 21.7
Nifty 50 Historical Avg PE at different time periods are :
1M = 21.2 ; 3M = 20.7 ; 6M = 21.4
1Y = 22.1 ; 2Y = 22.2 ; 5Y = 24.8
"Stocks Touching 10-Year High" signifies that a stock has reached its highest price level in the past decade. This indicates long-term strong performance and positive market sentiment. It suggests robust business growth and investor confidence, potentially attracting more interest and indicating sustained upward momentum. However, it may also prompt caution regarding overvaluation. There can be others also which might be not part of the list but sharing here only those which have good ROCE/ROE/OPM/Revenue growth and also not overvalued (NIFTY 500).
UltraTech Cement
Jk Cement
BSE
Stocks with Growing Momentum
Great momentum stocks indicating strong short-term and medium-term performance, driven by positive news, earnings reports, or market trends. Do note the valuations of the stocks!
Stocks at 52-Week High indicates that a stock has reached its highest price in the past year, reflecting strong performance and positive market sentiment. This milestone can signal upward momentum but may also suggest potential overvaluation. Investors often watch these stocks for further gains or reassess their strategies based on this performance indicator. For some traders, a stock hitting a 52-week high might signal a breakout, suggesting that the stock could continue to rise if it surpasses previous resistance levels.
In technical analysis, the 200-day DMA is a long-term trend indicator. When the current price is below this level, it might signal a bearish trend or a downturn. While other aspect is that these leading stocks may be temporarily undervalued, presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors who believe the stock will revert to its mean or rise above the 200-day DMA again especially where the valuations are sane.
Near 52 week low but are good stocks fundamentally, If one would like to do some bottom fishing would be from one of these with sane valuations and sector uptrend.
Thanks for reading till now. I hope these 5-7 mins have added some value in your analysis.
Thanks,
Curious Investor
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